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Sunday, March 2, 2025

2025 Oscar Predictions

 

I am predicting 16/23 categories as I never predict any of the Best Short Film categories, Best Documentary, and Best Original Song (which really needs to be dropped as an award). I am also not predicting either Best Animated or Best International Film as I haven’t seen any of this year’s nominees with the exception of Emilia Perez.


UPDATE: I went 15/16 with my predictions with the only miss being Mikey Madison for Best Actress. But that's OK because I really wanted her to win and am so glad she did. The winners are below in blue.


BEST PICTURE


Anora

The Brutalist

A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Pérez

I’m Still Here

Nickel Boys

The Substance

Wicked


What I want to/think should win: I know it has no chance, but I think Dune: Part Two is the best movie I’ve seen in the last 20 years. For the movies that DO have a chance, I want to see Anora win.

What I predict will win: Anora


BEST DIRECTOR


Sean Baker, Anora

Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

Coralie Fargeat, The Substance


Who I want to/think should win: Well, I think Denis Villeneuve should win, but he wasn’t nominated, so I’ll go with Sean Baker.

Who I predict will win: Sean Baker


BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE


Adrien Brody, The Brutalist 

Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown 

Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

Ralph Fiennes, Conclave 

Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice


Who I want to/think should win: Timothée Chalamet

Who I predict will win: Adrien Brody


BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE


Cynthia Erivo, Wicked  

Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez  

Mikey Madison, Anora  

Demi Moore, The Substance  

Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here


Who I want to/think should win: Mikey Madison

Who I predict will win: Demi Moore


BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE


Yura Borisov, Anora  

Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown   

Guy Pearce, The Brutalist   

Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice


Who I want to/think should win: Edward Norton

Who I predict will win: Kieran Culkin


BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE


Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown  

Ariana Grande, Wicked  

Felicity Jones, The Brutalist  

Isabella Rossellini, Conclave  

Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez


Who I want to/think should win: Monica Barbaro

Who I predict will win: Zoe Saldaña


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY


Lol Crawley, The Brutalist

Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two

Paul Guilhaume, Emilia Pérez

Ed Lachman, Maria

Jarin Blaschke, Nosferatu


Who I want to/think should win: Greig Fraser, Dune: Part Two

Who I predict will win: Lol Crawley, The Brutalist


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY


Anora, Written by Sean Baker

The Brutalist, Written by Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold

A Real Pain, Written by Jesse Eisenberg

September 5, Written by Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum; Co-Written by Alex David

The Substance, Written by Coralie Fargeat


What I want to/think should win: Anora

What I predict will win: Anora


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY


A Complete Unknown, Screenplay by James Mangold and Jay Cocks

Conclave, Screenplay by Peter Straughan

Emilia Pérez, Screenplay by Jacques Audiard; In collaboration with Thomas Bidegain, Léa Mysius and Nicolas Livecchi

Nickel Boys, Screenplay by RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes

Sing Sing, Screenplay by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar; Story by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John "Divine G" Whitfield


What I want to/think should win: A Complete Unknown

What I predict will win: Conclave


BEST FILM EDITING


Anora, Sean Baker

The Brutalist, David Jancso

Conclave, Nick Emerson

Emilia Pérez, Juliette Welfling

Wicked, Myron Kerstein


What I want to/think should win: Anora

What I predict will win: Anora


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE


Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist

Volker Bertelmann, Conclave

Clément Ducol and Camille, Emilia Pérez

John Powell and Stephen Schwartz, Wicked

Kris Bowers, The Wild Robot


Who I want to/think should win: Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist

Who I predict will win: Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist


BEST SOUND


A Complete Unknown, Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco

Dune: Part Two, Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill

Emilia Pérez, Erwan Kerzanet, Aymeric Devoldère, Maxence Dussère, Cyril Holtz and Niels Barletta

Wicked, Simon Hayes, Nancy Nugent Title, Jack Dolman, Andy Nelson and John Marquis

The Wild Robot, Randy Thom, Brian Chumney, Gary A. Rizzo and Leff Lefferts


What I want to/think should win: Dune: Part Two

What I predict will win: Dune: Part Two


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN


The Brutalist, Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Patricia Cuccia

Conclave, Production Design: Suzie Davies; Set Decoration: Cynthia Sleiter

Dune: Part Two, Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau

Nosferatu, Production Design: Craig Lathrop; Set Decoration: Beatrice Brentnerová

Wicked, Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Lee Sandales


What I want to/think should win: Dune: Part Two

What I predict will win: Wicked


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS


Alien: Romulus, Eric Barba, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser, Daniel Macarin and Shane Mahan

Better Man, Luke Millar, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs

Dune: Part Two, Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke

Wicked, Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, David Shirk and Paul Corbould


What I want to/think should win: Dune: Part Two

What I predict will win: Dune: Part Two


BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING


A Different Man, Mike Marino, David Presto and Crystal Jurado

Emilia Pérez, Julia Floch Carbonel, Emmanuel Janvier and Jean-Christophe Spadaccini

Nosferatu, David White, Traci Loader and Suzanne Stokes-Munton

The Substance, Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli

Wicked, Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth


What I want to/think should win: The Substance

What I predict will win: The Substance


BEST COSTUME DESIGN


Arianne Phillips, A Complete Unknown

Lisy Christl, Conclave

Janty Yates and Dave Crossman, Gladiator II

Linda Muir, Nosferatu 

Paul Tazewell, Wicked


Who I want to/think should win: Conclave

Who I predict will win: Wicked